Foreign brands also end up grabbing "poor guys"
New Retail Business Review
·June 11, 2024 11:27
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It's so easy to win back the hearts of consumers.
Which restaurant has not yet been caught up in the popular "poor guy combo"?
No one expected that this term, which became popular during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022- originally just a joke for young people to discover low-priced meals around them and make fun of themselves - has now become a true operational benchmark and wealth code for major food companies, especially well-known chain food companies.
To what extent was it once outrageous?
Sam, the purchasing base for the living needs of middle-class families in China, has a "poor three piece set" of 21.9 yuan 1.59kg eggs, 23.9 yuan 7 sets of bagels, and 59.8 yuan 16 Swiss rolls. The high-end Chinese food chain brand Xinrongji, with an average cost of over a thousand yuan per person, has launched a weekday lunch single person package priced at 398 yuan, attracting a large number of young people to arrange a "poor guide" on how to eat well. Wagas, a bowl of salad that can easily cost 70 or 80 yuan, has been purchased by Tiktok and other groups at half the price, and has become a "must for poor people" for delicate white-collar workers.
It is not important to explore the real and fake poor here. The trend is indeed that from high-end to mid-range, and even affordable restaurants are using price reductions to attract traffic.
In May, two major fast food giants, KFC and McDonald's, respectively labeled themselves as "poor guys". First, KFC launched a 9.9 yuan special burger, including original chicken burgers, spicy chicken leg burgers, New Orleans grilled chicken leg burgers, and Old Beijing chicken rolls. Then, McDonald's immediately followed suit and launched a daily "ten yuan burger" two-piece set of burgers and drinks for several consecutive weeks, which is even more cost-effective.
In foreign fast food, of course, it's not just KFC and McDonald's that end up opening up. Starting from mid May, Dexter has also launched a half month long "9 yuan per day" activity, where burgers and drinks can be randomly paired. Earlier this summer, Burger King had already launched the "Wednesday King's Day" event, offering a free pairing of burgers and snacks/drinks for 9.9 yuan.
What's even more surprising is that on Weibo's hot search, with the entry "The wind of 9.9 yuan has finally swept up to Starbucks", in the face of the price war sparked by Luckin and Coodie, can't even Starbucks, which has always been held, withstand it?
Why have foreign chain catering giants who have been in China for many years also begun to bend down and compete for "poor people"?
Foreign brands are the "king of understanding"
To be honest, the description of these brands' "beginning to end" is not accurate. After all, from KFC's Crazy Thursday to McDonald's Happy Meal, they can all be considered as pioneers of the "poor guy package" that has made a name for themselves. They started to end, pointing more towards their entry into this low price war in the catering industry with a more localized attitude. Specifically, they solved the demand for a regular meal for working people at an extremely low price.
Start with KFC's Crazy Thursday. KFC first launched an event in 2018 and hired celebrity endorsements. The products were mostly chicken nuggets, French fries, and burgers priced at 9.9 yuan, but they did not receive much response.
Then, in 2021, by chance, "V I 50" crazy Thursday game literature began to emerge on the Internet. KFC timely seized the hot spots and put it into operation, such as holding the "Crazy Four Literature Contest" in the live broadcast room. Until today, under the dual role of luck and effort, it has become an enduring symbol of the "poor package" industry.
Of course, the element of luck accounts for a larger proportion. It is also the Pizzahut of Yum! China, and there is also the "Scream Wednesday" activity, which has a much weaker popularity and spread.
McDonald's "Suixinpai" was launched in 2019, initially priced at 12 yuan. It was paired with beverages/new venues such as McPherson Chicken Burger, Double layered Cheese Burger, and McPherson Chicken Burger. Once launched, it captured the minds of people in the "McPherson" market.
Now, from the 9.9 yuan special coupon to the two optional items priced at ten yuan, both have broken the price bottom line of the traditional "poor package" for the two mentioned above. This is also a concrete manifestation of their entry into the current popular price war.
However, when we are attracted by discounted packages, it is easy to overlook that in fact, the prices of wheat and corn have been increasing over the years. A typical example is McDonald's casual pairing, which was launched in 2019 at a price of 12 yuan. In 2021, it was raised to 12.9 yuan, and at the beginning of last year, it was adjusted again to 13.9 yuan.
Incomplete statistics show that in the past three years, McDonald's and Ken's have each increased their prices no less than three times. KFC has seen three consecutive increases in 2021, with hamburgers, combos, and other items raising prices by 0.5-2 yuan. McDonald's combos have even increased prices by five or six yuan. McDonald's latest price increase was at the end of last year, with nearly 90% of its hamburger snack products expected to increase by 0.5 yuan, and the Maixiang chicken combo by 2 yuan. Overall, the average increase is about 3%.
New Retail Business Review Photography
The increase in raw material and labor operating costs is the direct cause, and considering inflation and the difficult environment of the past three years, these price increases seem reasonable.
But the question is, for Ken and Mai, who have been in China for over 30 years, how long can they maintain their competitiveness with the continuous price increase of hamburgers and French fries in the competition of developed local noodle fast food categories?
On the other hand, the rise of similar local fast food brands such as Tasting and Wallace is further exacerbating the anxiety of McDonald's and Ken's. Undoubtedly, in terms of brand recognition and scale, Tastin and Wallace are not yet able to compete head-on with Mai and Ken, but the two that have emerged from the lower tier market are also territories that Mai and Ken need to continuously cultivate. McDonald's China CEO Zhang Jiayin once bluntly stated that outside of first and second tier cities, the lower tier market will be McDonald's key deployment area.
Under the influence of various external factors, KFC's 9.9 yuan special discount coupon and McDonald's 10 yuan two piece optional coupon are not fundamentally different from their successful "Crazy Thursday" and "Match Your Heart" promotions. Apart from their affordable regular prices, occasional "small favors" given to consumers are important means of maintaining brand loyalty.
This move can also be seen in IKEA.
Recently, "I can do it again" is the real reaction of consumers to IKEA on social media. In the past two years, IKEA, which is accustomed to announcing price increases due to increased raw material and transportation costs, has suffered frequent setbacks in its reputation. Recently, IKEA, which has entered a discount period from May 23rd to June 26th, has launched a major discount of at least 50% off on hundreds of classic products. On social media platforms such as Xiaohongshu, there are many people who are eager to make purchases.
However, more importantly, IKEA has also started to promote the trend of "poor guy packages". During the period from May 10 to May 31, IKEA launched the "Half Price Friday" activity, including the Italian cheese and meat paste noodles, sausage platters and other packages, which were sold at half price. The most affordable Swedish Rice-meat dumplings rice was only 9.9 yuan.
It's really that easy to win back the hearts of consumers.
How long can I play the Poor Ghost Package?
It should be noted that the Poor Ghost Package is not only popular in China. Recently, McDonald's announced the launch of a $5 package in the United States, which includes a McDonald's cheeseburger/chicken sandwich, small fries, beverages, and a four piece set of McNuggets. The event will last for a month, which is also a choice McDonald's has been forced to make in response to declining store traffic and consumers becoming increasingly unwilling to pay high costs for dining out.
Such extreme low prices clearly indicate that various enterprises have sacrificed their profits. For example, in the first quarter of this year, the operating profit margins of KFC and Pizzahut under Yum! China both declined, with KFC dropping 1.9% and Pizzahut dropping 1% year on year, because of the increase of cost-effective products to promote the growth of customer flow.
Therefore, giants such as Ken and Mai often only dare to launch such activities within a limited time frame. In other words, 9 yuan and 9 yuan are really unsustainable. In this process, the fierce competition in the catering industry has made this trend even more tragic.
Last year, after McDonald's announced a one yuan increase in the price of its free pairing, Burger King continued to play memes on Weibo, and its "9.9 yuan free pairing on Wednesday King's Day" campaign launched last year continued. Burger King has been promoting itself in a suicidal way. In addition to its 9.9 yuan discount, it has also launched a cooperation activity between two burgers priced at 9.9 yuan on platforms such as Meituan, which once led many "Maimen" followers to defect to "Hanmen". In the United States, shortly after McDonald's recently launched a $5 package, Burger King also announced the launch of a $5 promotion. In addition, in May, Dexter also followed suit and launched a half month long "9 yuan daily" hamburger snack combo.
Tuyuan Burger King and Dex official Weibo accounts
The volume is endless.
The catering industry is too difficult. There are many practitioners, and the entry threshold is not high. Enterprises with similar positioning are very likely to enter the same river, not to mention these vastly different foreign fast food.
Nan Cheng Xiang, a community chain catering company that has become an internet celebrity, launched a low-priced small hot pot last year with a pure vegetarian pot that costs 22.9 yuan to eat. It is the leader of the "poor set meal" in local restaurants and has quickly gained followers.
The New Retail Business Review noticed that chain brands that are also positioned as community catering are well suited, and have also launched the same self-service hot pot at stores such as Zhichun Road in Beijing, priced at 22.8 yuan, with a slightly more variety of vegetables than Nancheng Xiang. In addition, the meat priced at 19.9 yuan per serving compared to Nanchengxiang has been set at 16.8 yuan for its palatability.
Nowadays, with the reduction of package prices and the return to the weekday afternoon market price of 40 to 50 yuan, the gap with Nancheng Xiangmen has been lowered, and the latter, who has been lying in the comfort zone of cost-effectiveness, has also been under comparative pressure.
When we look back and review, the 9.9 yuan trend first started in the coffee industry, led by Coodie and fought by Luckin, and was forced to continue until this year, when it brought in all the Starbucks it had been holding.
From a unit price of 30-40 yuan per cup to 9.9 yuan per cup, it is still a bit difficult for Starbucks to lower its profile at once. Therefore, various wool discounts from platforms such as Ele.me need to be added to achieve such a low price. However, nowadays, ordinary users in Starbucks mini programs are indeed continuously fed a large number of optional coupons for 39.9 yuan per cup and 49.9 yuan per cup.
Image Source Starbucks Mini Program
Previously, Starbucks cancelled the promotion of a 15 yuan value breakfast. Starbucks is very conflicted.
The result of rolling back and forth is that even important player Luckin cannot withstand it. Since the beginning of this year, many consumers have noticed that Luckin Coffee's 9.9 yuan discount has been continuously shrinking. On the one hand, it was a coupon that was originally available for almost all products, with only designated products remaining available, and the rest returning to the 20 yuan price range. On the other hand, there are also restrictions on store usage.
Luckin's performance speaks for itself. After achieving its first profit in the first quarter of 2022, just two years later in the first quarter of this year, Luckin once again entered a loss mode, with a net profit loss of 10 million yuan, compared to a net profit of 680 million yuan in the same period last year.
Except for Luckin, Tim, Manner, and others who once participated in the 9.9 price war, have quietly taken down the 9.9 promotion. However, only franchisees know how difficult it is for Coody, who is threatening to continue, to continue.
epilogue
I can't help but think of various subsidy wars in the past few years, including food delivery and taxi services. After burning completely, it was a void. The characteristic of the catering industry, which is characterized by a continuous succession and the Yangtze River pushing the waves ahead, may reduce the probability of this situation occurring, but it is ultimately not benign.
The wind of the poor package continues to blow, and consumers are indeed delighted to see it. However, can meal companies ensure that there is no unwavering price increase and harvest in the future?
This article is from the WeChat official account "New Retail Business Review" (ID: xinlingshou1001). The author is Beihai, and the editor is Ge Weiwei. 36 Krypton is authorized to release.
The viewpoint of this article only represents the author himself, and the 36Kr platform only provides information storage space services.
哪家搞餐饮的,还没被风靡的“穷鬼套餐”卷到?
谁也没想到,这个从2022年疫情时期爆火的名词——原本只是年轻人发掘出身边低价餐食而自我调侃的玩梗,如今却成了各大餐企,尤其是知名连锁餐企真正的运营风向标和财富密码。
一度离谱到什么程度呢?
国内中产家庭的生活需求采购大本营——山姆,都有了21.9元1.59kg鸡蛋、23.9元7个装贝果和59.8元16片瑞士卷的“穷鬼三件套”。人均上千元的高端中餐连锁品牌新荣记,推出售价398元的工作日午市单人套餐,引得大批年轻人都安排上了如何吃撑的“穷鬼攻略”。一碗沙拉动辄七八十元的Wagas,上了抖音等团购,折合半价一份,也成了精致白领们的“穷鬼必备”。
这里探讨真、假穷鬼不重要,趋势确实是,从高端到中端,再至平价餐饮们,都在用降价谋流量。
刚刚过去的五月份,两大洋快餐巨头肯德基、麦当劳就分别为“穷鬼”battle了一下。先是肯德基推出包括原味鸡汉堡、香辣鸡腿堡、新奥尔良烤鸡腿堡和老北京鸡肉卷在内的9.9元特价汉堡,而后,麦当劳立马跟上,连续多周推出了每日“十元吃堡”的汉堡与饮料两件套,更超值划算。
洋快餐里,当然不止肯德基、麦当劳下场开“卷”。5月中旬起,德克士也发起了持续半个月的“天天9块9”活动,可选汉堡与饮品两两随机搭配。而更早之前,也就是去年夏季,汉堡王已经上线了“周三国王日”活动,9块9可选汉堡与小食/饮品的随心配。
更意外的是,微博热搜上,有了“9块9的风终于还是卷到了星巴克”的上榜词条,在瑞幸、库迪们掀起的价格战面前,连一向端着的星巴克都扛不住了吗?
入华多年的外来连锁餐饮巨头们,怎么也开始俯身抢“穷鬼”了?
实话,说这些品牌“开始下场”的形容其实并不准确,毕竟,从肯德基的疯狂星期四,到麦当劳的随心配,都可以算得上出圈的“穷鬼套餐”先行者,开始下场,更多指向的是它们以更本土化的姿态入局了这场餐饮界的低价战,具体表现为,以极低的价格,解决打工人的一顿正餐需求。
先行如肯德基的“疯狂星期四”。肯德基最早于2018年推出活动,并请了明星代言,产品多是售价9.9元的鸡块、薯条和汉堡等,却没有引起太大反响。
而后,2021年,机缘巧合之下,互联网上开始兴起“V我50”的疯狂星期四玩梗文学,肯德基适时抓住热点,将其运作起来,比如在直播间举办“疯四文学大赛”等,直至今天,在运气和努力的双重作用下,成为“穷鬼套餐”界屹立不倒的标志。
当然,其中运气成分占了更大比重,同是百胜中国的必胜客,也有“尖叫星期三”的活动,知名度和传播度上就弱了很多。
麦当劳的“随心配”,2019年推出,最初售价12元,麦香鸡汉堡、双层吉士汉堡和麦乐鸡等与饮料/新地搭配,一经推出,就攻占了“麦门”中人的心智。
而现在,从9.9元特价堡券,到十元两件任选的活动,都刷新了上述二者传统“穷鬼套餐”的价格底线。这也是它们入局如今这场风靡的价格战的具象表现。
不过,当我们被特价套餐吸引的时候,很容易忽视,其实这些年,麦、肯们是一直在涨价的。典型是麦当劳的随心配,于2019年推出时售价12元,2021年上调为12.9元,去年年初再度调价至13.9元。
不完全统计,近三年来,麦、肯分别进行了不少于三次的涨价,肯德基单在2021年就有了“三连涨”,多是汉堡、套餐等提价0.5~2元,麦当劳的套餐甚至有涨价五六元。而麦当劳最近的一次涨价就在去年年底,近90%的汉堡小食类产品都将提价0.5元,麦香鸡套餐则提价2元,总的来说,平均涨幅约3%。
新零售商业评论摄
原材料和人工运营成本的增加是直接原因,考虑到通货膨胀以及过去三年艰苦的大环境,这些价格上涨看起来“情有可原”。
但问题是,对于已经入华超30年的肯、麦来说,在发达的本土粉面快餐等品类的竞争下,汉堡薯条的连续涨价,能维系多久的竞争力呢?
另一边,本土同类快餐品牌如塔斯汀、华莱士的崛起,也在进一步加剧麦、肯们的焦虑。诚然,从品牌认可度和规模上说,塔斯汀、华莱士尚不能与麦、肯正面对垒,但从低线市场崛起的二者,也是麦、肯们要不断开垦的地盘。麦当劳中国首席执行官张家茵就曾直言,一二线城市外,下沉市场将是麦当劳的重点部署区域。
多种外部因素作用下,肯德基的9.9元特价堡券,麦当劳的10元两件任选,与它们成功出圈的“疯狂星期四”和“随心配”没有本质区别,不算便宜的正价之外偶尔给予消费者的“小恩小惠”,是维系品牌忠诚度的重要手段。
这一招在宜家身上也能看到端倪。
最近,“我又可以了”是社交媒体上消费者对宜家的真实反应。这两年,惯常因原材料和运输成本增加而宣布涨价的宜家,口碑频频翻车,最近,进入“5月23日~6月26日”打折期的宜家,开放了上百款经典产品最低五折起的大减价活动,小红书等社交平台上,抢购入手的不在少数。
不过,更重要的是,宜家餐饮也开始吹起了“穷鬼套餐”的风。5月10日~5月31日期间,宜家推出“半价星期五”活动,包括意式芝士肉酱面、烤肠拼盘等套餐均半价销售,最实惠的瑞典肉丸饭,仅售9.9元。
捞回消费者的心,真就这么容易。
需要看到的是,穷鬼套餐,不止在中国风靡。最近,麦当劳就宣布在美国上线售价5美元的套餐,包含麦当劳吉士汉堡/鸡肉三明治、小薯条、饮料和麦乐鸡四件套,活动将持续一个月,这也是麦当劳为应对门店客流量下滑,以及消费者越来越不愿意付出高昂花费外出就餐等因素,被迫做出的选择。
这样极致的低价,显然,各企业是牺牲了利润的。比如今年一季度,百胜中国旗下肯德基和必胜客的经营利润率双双下降,肯德基同比下降1.9%,必胜客同比下降1%,原因即是增加了高性价比产品以推动客流量增长。
也因此,巨头如肯、麦们,这样的活动往往只敢限时限期推出。换言之,9块9,真的太不可持续了。这个过程里,因为餐饮行业的竞争激烈这一特质,又让这场风潮显得更为惨烈。
去年,麦当劳宣布随心配涨价一元后,汉堡王还在微博玩梗,其去年推出的“周三国王日9.9元随心配”活动继续。而汉堡王一直在“自杀式”推广,除却自身的9.9元特惠,在美团等平台上,还曾上线过9.9元两个汉堡的合作活动,一度让不少“麦门”信徒叛入“汉门”。在美国,最近麦当劳发布5美元套餐活动后不久,汉堡王也宣布跟随推出了5美元活动。此外,就在5月,德克士也跟风推出了持续半个月的“天天9块9”汉堡小食搭配套餐。
图源汉堡王、德克士官方微博
卷无止境。
餐饮业,太难了。从业者众多,入局门槛不高,定位相似的企业们极易走进同一条河流,别说这些大差不差的洋快餐了。
业已成为网红的社区连锁餐企南城香,去年推出的平价小火锅,纯素锅22.9元畅吃,是本土餐饮里的“穷鬼套餐”扛把子,如今也很快有了追随者。
新零售商业评论注意到,同样定位社区餐饮的连锁品牌好适口,也在北京知春路等店上线了同样的自助小火锅,售价22.8元,其中蔬菜种类比南城香还要多一点。此外,较南城香19.9元一份的肉类,好适口把价格定在了16.8元。
如今,随着呷哺呷哺下调套餐价格,重回四五十元的工作日午市价,拉低了与南城香们的差距,也让原本一直躺在性价比舒适区的后者有了对比压力。
当我们回首复盘,9块9这阵风最早是从咖啡业刮起的,库迪牵头,瑞幸应战,被迫持续,直到今年,把一直端着的星巴克都卷了进来。
从单价三四十元一杯到9.9元一杯,对于星巴克来说,一下子放低身段至此还是有点难,也因此,需要叠加饿了么等平台的各种羊毛优惠才能做到如此低价,但如今,普通用户的星巴克小程序内,确实会被不间断投喂大量39.9元两杯、49.9元三杯的任选优惠券。
图源星巴克小程序
而在此前,星巴克取消了15元超值早餐的活动。星巴克很纠结。
卷来卷去的结果是,重要玩家瑞幸也顶不住了。从今年年初开始,不少消费者就发现,瑞幸的9.9元咖啡优惠在不断缩水,一方面,是原本几乎全品皆可用的优惠券,只余下指定产品可用,余者均恢复20元价位,另一方面,还有了门店使用限制。
瑞幸的业绩说明了一切。从2022年第一季度实现首次盈利后,仅仅两年后的今年第一季度,瑞幸再度进入亏损模式,净利润亏损0.1亿元,而去年同期,这个数字是6.8亿元净利润。
除了瑞幸,曾经参与9块9价格战的Tims、manner等,如今,均已悄悄下线了9块9的活动,而那个扬言继续的库迪,只有加盟商才知道有多苦。
不禁想起来前些年包括外卖、打车在内的各种补贴大战。燃烧殆尽后,一片虚无。餐饮业前仆后继、长江后浪推前浪的特质尽管让这种情况发生的概率更小,但终究并不良性。
穷鬼套餐的风继续吹,消费者确实喜闻乐见,但各餐企们,能确保此后没有义无反顾的涨价收割吗?
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